The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oostende 33.1%
Draw 26.7%
Westerlo 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
26.8%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
26.7%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oostende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oostende than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
46.2%
15.4%
38.5%
Oostende - Westerlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Oostende will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Westerlo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oostende: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group)).
Oostende has the most likely position - 16 (43.28%), project points - 28, currently - 24, a good chance of relegated (73%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Westerlo has the most likely position - 6 (28.59%), project points - 53, currently - 45, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, importance37, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oostende won 2.
Recent matches Oostende is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Westerlo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Oostende could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Oostende: Atanga D.
(Injury)
Hornby F.
(Yellow Cards)
Phillips D.
(Injury)
Tanghe A.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Westerlo: Bernat J.
(Knee Injury)
Daci E.
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Mineiro
(Knee Injury)
Van den Keybus T.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Oostende: D'Arpino M.
(Knee Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Oostende won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Oostende won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.
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