Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)


	Genk		Oostende

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	6.5	Watch
	1.43	5	7
	1.35	5.3	8
	1.38	5.29	7.94
	1.41	5	6.75	Watch
	1.4	5.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.24)	5.13 ↓ (6.03)	7.2 ↓ (11.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
68.2%

Draw
18.5%

Oostende
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.3%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.

Oostende has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oostende's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	5%	7.5%

Genk - Oostende Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (35 of 40 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.25% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League).

Genk has the most likely position - 1 (65.72%), has project points - 79, has currently - 63, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (88%), has a good chance of win league (66%).

Oostende has the most likely position - 17 (37.93%), has project points - 26, has currently - 20, has a good chance of relegated (90%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 66, match rating 51. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Genk won 2.

Recent matches Genk is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Oostende is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oostende could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Genk is certain favorite.

Last 27 head-to-head matches Genk won 11 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 46-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Genk won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.02.23	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Genk - Royal Antwerp	0:1 ✺
05.02.23	Gent - Genk	2:3 ✺
01.02.23	Eupen - Genk	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Genk - Seraing	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTW
- KV Oostende
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
18.02.23	Oostende - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
12.02.23	Zulte Waregem - Oostende	1:1 ✺
03.02.23	Oostende - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Kortrijk - Oostende	2:2 ✺
21.01.23	Oostende - Cercle Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.10.22	Oostende - Genk	1:2
26.12.21	Oostende - Genk	0:4
30.07.21	Genk - Oostende	3:4
17.02.21	Oostende - Genk	3:1
28.09.20	Genk - Oostende	2:2
07.03.20	Oostende - Genk	2:4
21.09.19	Genk - Oostende	3:1

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