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Current Win Probability
Opatija 39.6%
Draw 28.3%
Kustošija 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.5%
28.8%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
26.2%
31.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Opatija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Opatija than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Opatija - Kustošija Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Jurcevic J. (G) 13. Bagadur R. 24. Bogolin B. (C) 3. Brlek L. 7. Djokovic D. 20. Domjanic R. 10. Groznica G. 8. Horvat I. 4. Mulac D. 23. Suke S. 2. Usalj D.
1. Prslja L. (G) 8. Jurak L. 3. Markanovic F. 51. Nichols J. 19. Nwachukwu P. O. 25. Sopic S. 88. Sunjic N. (C) 13. Vuckovic M. 7. Zabec D. 17. Zalazar M. 4. Zeqiraj L.
Substitutes
5. Buzuk D. 18. Camara A. 21. Havolli V. 19. Macolic N. 22. Milanovic A. 11. Miskulin M. 16. Mrsic M. 17. Murica L. 35. Nwolokor D. (G)
15. Bartulovic J. 23. Begonja D. 6. Dukic L. 9. Gashi M. 55. Graf I. 18. Krizmanic T. 5. Kulenovic T. 20. Pregelj D. 12. Rajic A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
40', 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Zalazar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nwachukwu P. O. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
46', Bogolin B. ↓, Mrsic M. ↑,
46', Brlek L. ↓, Macolic N. ↑,
59', Nichols J. ↓, Graf I. ↑,
66', 🟨,
73', Suke S. ↓, Milanovic A. ↑,
73', Domjanic R. ↓, Murica L. ↑,
79', Zalazar M. ↓, Dukic L. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Djokovic D. ⚽,
86', Zabec D. ↓, Kulenovic T. ↑,
86', Markanovic F. ↓, Begonja D. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Groznica G. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 14th and 16th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Opatija won 2.
Opatija has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Kustošija is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Opatija is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Opatija has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:11 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Opatija against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:5 goals (averaging 1.4:1 per game).