Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: ChNL - Round 17

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Football Pitch Dolni Benesov (Dolni Benesov)

Referee: Trska A. (Cze)


	Opava		Varnsdorf

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	1.98	3.3	3.4
	2.08	3.33	3.36
	2.05	3.38	3.55	Watch
	1.88	3.44	3.62	Watch
	1.98	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.92)	3.31 ↓ (3.41)	3.44 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Opava
45.7%

Draw
27.7%

Varnsdorf
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.6%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

27.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Opava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Varnsdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Opava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varnsdorf than the current prediction. (-1%)

Opava - Varnsdorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Babka M. (G) 20. Blecha F. 8. Cejka F. 22. Helesic M. 33. Jasso T. 18. Kozak L. 23. Lehoczki O. 2. Micuda S. 10. Muzik L. 14. Ondracek A. (C) 19. Papalele	33. Vanak M. (G) 7. Dufek L. 10. Firbacher F. 2. Hora J. 22. Kouril M. 21. Kubista M. (C) 16. Lexa M. 4. Osaghae S. 23. Podzimek O. 6. Vlk M. 20. Zalesak R.
Substitutes
27. Hybl M. 9. Lombard H. 13. Omale S. 26. Richter A. (G) 4. Srubek J. 17. Strnadel O. 36. Vladar M.	17. Dohalsky P. 12. Karban K. 5. Leitl M. 1. Pesl L. (G) 19. Rudnytskyy P. 8. Suleiman A.
Coaches
Zapotocny T.	Papousek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Zalesak R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Cejka F. ↓, Lombard H. ↑,
64', Papalele ↓, Strnadel O. ↑,
72', Firbacher F. ↓, Leitl M. ↑,
81', Podzimek O. ↓, Karban K. ↑,
83', Ondracek A. 🟨,
90', Leitl M. 🟨,
90+2', Karban K. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Opava won 2.

Recent matches Opava is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varnsdorf is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Opava have a series of home games.

Opava will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Opava won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:22 (average 1.4:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Opava won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:8 (average 2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Opava
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Opava - Pohronie	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Pardubice B - Opava	1:4 ✺
07.02.25	Opava - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:4 ✺
01.02.25	Opava - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Opava - Podbrezová	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTT
- FK Varnsdorf
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Ústí nad Labem - Varnsdorf	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Varnsdorf - Baník Most-Souš	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Varnsdorf - Slovan Liberec B	4:1 ✺
Czech Tipsport Liga
22.01.25	Mladá Boleslav B - Varnsdorf	0:5 ✺
15.01.25	Varnsdorf - Hradec Králové	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Division 2
31.07.24	Varnsdorf - Opava	3:1
12.11.23	Varnsdorf - Opava	2:1
28.07.23	Opava - Varnsdorf	1:0
28.05.23	Opava - Varnsdorf	2:1
31.07.22	Varnsdorf - Opava	3:1
30.04.22	Opava - Varnsdorf	3:1
24.11.21	Varnsdorf - Opava	0:3

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