Match Info

Paranaense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Germano Krüger (Ponta Grossa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT


	Operário Ferroviario		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.44	3.75	8.2
	1.33	4.29	9.96
	1.51	3.57	8
	1.33	4	8.5
	1.37	4.52	8.6	Watch
	1.44	3.8	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.59)	4.02 ↑ (3.35)	8.47 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário Ferroviario
66.2%

Draw
22.9%

Azuriz
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

27.3%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

27.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário Ferroviario's performance.

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário Ferroviario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 11. Aylon 10. Boschilia (C) 22. Cuenu J. 5. Indio 99. Leo Gaucho 2. Mikael Doka 6. Moraes 18. Pool J. 29. Torres E. 20. Vinicius Diniz	12. Enzo (G) 4. Ary Garcia 5. Caetano 20. Gabriel Zeca 2. Hygor 8. Joao Felipe 7. Joao Maranhao 19. Joao Pedro 18. Lucas Santos 3. Yegros U. 11. Ze Hugo
Substitutes
3. Charles Raphael 4. Dantas A. 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 92. Henrique 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 39. Matheus Trindade 16. Miranda 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena	13. Bruno 1. Gabriel Buzzetto (G) 10. Gabriel Davis 21. Jorginho 16. Leo Guerra 14. Marquinhos 9. Matheus Guimaraes 22. Tchow L. 17. Victor Yan 6. Vinicio 15. Vinicios
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes	Everson Pereira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vinicius Diniz ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Moraes ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Felipe ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
56', Aylon 🟨,
59', Pedro Dos Santos Silva J. ↓, Vinicio ↑,
62', Moraes ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
68', Indio ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
69', Aylon ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
76', Caetano ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
76', Lucas Santos ↓, Jorginho ↑,
79', Caetano 🟥,
80', Torres E. ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
80', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Kaua Gomes ↑,
82', Hygor ↓, Tchow L. ↑,
82', Ze Hugo ↓, Leo Guerra ↑,
89', Pedro Vilhena 🟨,
90', Gabriel Zeca 🟨,
90+3', Boschilia 🟨,
90+3', Jorginho 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 4.

Operário PR has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Azuriz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Azuriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Operário PR is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.2:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 1.5:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Foz do Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	São-Joseense - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLT
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
20.01.26	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Maringá - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Azuriz - Londrina	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	FC Cascavel - Azuriz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.25	Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario	0:2
11.03.24	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	1:0
03.03.24	Azuriz - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
04.02.24	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	1:0
19.01.23	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	1:0
06.03.22	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	3:0
20.05.21	Operário Ferroviario - Azuriz	2:0 penalties

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