Match Info

Sul-Matogrossense - Round 4

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday


	Operário MS		Águia Negra

	1	X	2
	4.08	2.91	2.01	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.8
	1.73	3.13	4.91
	1.87	3.14	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.48)	3.07 ↓ (3.84)	3.68 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário MS
41.3%

Draw
32%

Águia Negra
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário MS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário MS's form might have worsened.

Águia Negra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águia Negra's recent form is better than expected.

Operário MS - Águia Negra Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário MS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Águia Negra (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Operário MS (2.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Operário MS (votes: 3 - 75%). Águia Negra (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Sul~Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In this match, Operário MS is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Operário MS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Operário MS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário MS
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
28.01.26	Operário MS - Aquidauana	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Operário MS - Pantanal	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Operário MS - Cianorte	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Operário MS	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Operário MS - Uberlândia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWT
- Águia Negra
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
24.01.26	Pantanal - Águia Negra	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ivinhema - Águia Negra	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Águia Negra - Ivinhema	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Dourados - Águia Negra	2:2 penalties ✺
02.02.25	Águia Negra - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
18.01.25	Operário MS - Águia Negra	2:0
05.04.21	Águia Negra - Operário MS	1:0
17.03.21	Operário MS - Águia Negra	3:4

Operário MS - Águia Negra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide