Match Info

BRAZIL: Sul-Matogrossense - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Dourados		Águia Negra

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.6
	1.47	4.05	6.19	Watch
	1.45	3.95	6.39
	1.5	3.9	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.69)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	5.95 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dourados
61.6%

Draw
23.1%

Águia Negra
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

26.1%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dourados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dourados's performance.

Águia Negra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Dourados - Águia Negra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Barcos G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 0, Moura T. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Negra A. (Pen),
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Jo (Pen),
1, Barcos Gabriel (Pen),
2, Rodolfo. (Pen),
2, Fogliato D. (Pen),
3, Marquinhos. (Pen),
3, Tulio Renan (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sul~Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sul~Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dourados is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Águia Negra could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dourados have a series of home games.

In this match Dourados is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Dourados won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Dourados won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dourados AC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
02.03.25	Dourados - Aquidauanense	5:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Dourados - Caxias	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
15.02.25	Dourados - Naviraiense	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Dourados - Coxim	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Dourados - Operário MS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW
- Águia Negra
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
02.02.25	Águia Negra - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Dourados - Águia Negra	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Operário MS - Águia Negra	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
05.09.21	Águia Negra - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
29.08.21	Patrocinense - Águia Negra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
26.01.25	Dourados - Águia Negra	3:0
11.04.21	Águia Negra - Dourados	0:2

Dourados - Águia Negra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide