Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 6

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Oran		Paradou

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.45	6.1
	1.55	3.49	6.76
	1.00	13.79	25.00	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6.26
	1.75	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	5.5 ↑ (3.32)	9.66 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oran
70.2%

Draw
19%

Paradou
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.7%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oran's performance.

Paradou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paradou might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oran than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oran that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paradou than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paradou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oran - Paradou Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oran (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Oran (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Oran (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Oran (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aggoune L. (G) 21. Abdelkader M. 8. Aguieb J. 27. Aliane Y. 17. Aoudjane C. 20. Belkhiter M. 10. Boukholda C. 6. Embarek O. 5. Hachoud I. 23. Hamra A. 3. Mammar Chaouche A.	16. Moussaoui T. (G) 8. Abdelkader M. 33. Ait El Hadj M. 5. Bouzahzah O. . Hamed 24. Kermiche F. . Rafanomezantsoa L. 15. Ramdaoui M. 23. Reguieg M. 11. Soukkou M. 18. Tahri A.
Substitutes
7. Baakoh M. 22. Belharrane A. 4. Bourdim A. 16. Ferrahi M. (G) 9. Goudjil Y. 12. Kaddour O. 24. Kerroum A. 15. Mohutsiwa G. 13. Senhadji M.	30. Abdelkader A. (G) 21. Bacha A. . Badani 10. Belkacem Bouzida A. . Benidder 3. Bouderka M. 46. Lahmer S. 26. Tahar T. 42. Zaoui S. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ramdaoui M. ⚽,
45+1', Belkhiter M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Abdelkader M. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Boukholda C. ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, Aoudjane C. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oran won 3.

Recent performances by Oran have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Paradou is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Oran is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Oran won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Oran won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.4:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Oran
Algerian Ligue 1
16.09.25	MC Alger - Oran	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Oran - Kabylie	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Oran - Mostaganem	0:0 ✺
29.08.25	Olympique Akbou - Oran	1:0 ✺
21.08.25	Oran - Ben Aknoun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLW
- Paradou AC
Algerian Ligue 1
19.09.25	Paradou - Olympique Akbou	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Ben Aknoun - Paradou	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Paradou - USM Alger	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Belouizdad - Paradou	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paradou - ASO Chlef	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
04.04.25	Oran - Paradou	2:0
25.10.24	Paradou - Oran	2:2
15.03.24	Oran - Paradou	2:0
Algerian Cup
08.03.24	Paradou - Oran	1:2
Algerian Ligue 1
10.11.23	Paradou - Oran	1:0
06.06.23	Paradou - Oran	4:0
05.11.22	Oran - Paradou	1:0

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