Match Info

Algeria Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Oran		Mostaganem

	1	X	2
	1.65	3	5.5
	1.67	2.86	6.38
	1.7	2.92	6.21	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.73	3	5.95
	1.68	2.85	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	2.96 ↓ (3.16)	5.92 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oran
53.9%

Draw
30.8%

Mostaganem
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

28.3%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

27.3%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mostaganem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oran than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mostaganem than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	42.9%	0%

Oran - Mostaganem Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Oran will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Oran (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Oran (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Oran (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Oran (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Oran is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mostaganem is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Oran is considered a favorite.

We predict that Oran will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Oran won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Oran won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MC Oran
Algerian Ligue 1
20.11.25	Oran - ES Sétif	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Rouissat - Oran	1:3 ✺
01.11.25	Oran - Constantine	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	El Bayadh - Oran	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Oran - Saoura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWWWT
- ES Mostaganem
Algerian Ligue 1
17.11.25	Mostaganem - USM Alger	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Khenchela - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mostaganem - Belouizdad	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Paradou - Mostaganem	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Mostaganem - ASO Chlef	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
05.09.25	Oran - Mostaganem	0:0
19.02.25	Oran - Mostaganem	1:0
28.09.24	Mostaganem - Oran	2:1

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