Match Info

Nadeshiko League Women - Round 7

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Orca Kamogawa		Takatsuki Speranza

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.6	5.6
	1.58	4.22	6.98
	1.46	3.96	6.6	Watch
	1.53	3.64	5.87	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.51)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	6.03 ↓ (6.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orca Kamogawa
60.1%

Draw
24.6%

Takatsuki Speranza
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

18.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orca Kamogawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Takatsuki Speranza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orca Kamogawa than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orca Kamogawa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Takatsuki Speranza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Orca Kamogawa - Takatsuki Speranza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Davis A. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orca Kamogawa won 3.

Orca Kamogawa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Takatsuki Speranza has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Takatsuki Speranza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Orca Kamogawa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Orca Kamogawa won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:4 (average 0.8:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Orca Kamogawa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orca Kamogawa
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
19.04.25	Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls - Orca Kamogawa	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Orca Kamogawa - IGA Kunoichi	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Viamaterras Miyazaki - Orca Kamogawa	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Orca Kamogawa - Setagaya Sfida	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	NGU Loveledge Nagoya - Orca Kamogawa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTT
- FC Takatsuki Speranza
Japan Nadeshiko League Women
13.04.25	Okayama Yunogo Belle - Takatsuki Speranza	3:0 ✺
05.04.25	Takatsuki Speranza - Harima Albion	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Ehime - Takatsuki Speranza	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Nippatsu Yokohama Seagulls - Takatsuki Speranza	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Takatsuki Speranza - IGA Kunoichi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan Nadeshiko League Women
06.10.24	Orca Kamogawa - Takatsuki Speranza	0:1
26.05.24	Takatsuki Speranza - Orca Kamogawa	0:1
09.09.23	Takatsuki Speranza - Orca Kamogawa	0:0
14.05.23	Orca Kamogawa - Takatsuki Speranza	1:0
03.07.22	Orca Kamogawa - Takatsuki Speranza	2:0
24.04.22	Takatsuki Speranza - Orca Kamogawa	0:1
03.10.21	Orca Kamogawa - Takatsuki Speranza	1:2

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