The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orenburg-2 64.1%
Draw 22.5%
Sokol Kazan 13.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
25%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
23.9%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg-2's performance.
Sokol Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg-2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Kazan than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Orenburg 2 - Sokol Kazan Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
53. Korobov V. (G) 79. Antsiperov D. 69. Davydov V. 65. Ivashchenko I. 71. Kerin V. 76. Klinov P. 88. Koserik N. 64. Minatulaev O. 91. Morozov I. 67. Pitintsev Y. 93. Zhelannikov A.
16. Frolkin V. (G) 4. Abdullin N. 9. Degtyarov M. 44. Gallyamov E. 24. Khannanov A. 88. Malinin M. 63. Salimov R. 8. Sharafutdinov R. 77. Snetkov A. 34. Tsvetkov D. 19. Ustinov V.
Substitutes
48. Antsiperov E. 74. Batyrshin D. 89. Frolov Y. 70. Kapustyanskiy D. 25. Oleynik S. 44. Razhin Y. 37. Saranchukov V. 85. Tyulenev N. (G) 82. Vsyakikh I. 34. Zverev S.
90. Burtsev N. (G) 18. Kislyakov N. 99. Kulakhmetov R. 14. Osadchiy I. 6. Sabirzyanov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Khannanov A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Antsiperov D. ⚽,
40', Pitintsev Y. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Morozov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Zhelannikov A. ↓, Vsyakikh I. ↑,
60', Khannanov A. ↓, Kislyakov N. ↑,
61', Pitintsev Y. ↓, Kapustyanskiy D. ↑,
62', Minatulaev O. ↓, Oleynik S. ↑,
68', Ustinov V. ↓, Osadchiy I. ↑,
76', Gallyamov E. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Kislyakov N. ⚽,
78', Kerin V. ↓, Antsiperov E. ↑,
82', Tsvetkov D. ↓, Sabirzyanov K. ↑,
82', Malinin M. ↓, Kulakhmetov R. ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Antsiperov D. ⚽,
89', Antsiperov D. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Orenburg-2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sokol Kazan is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Orenburg-2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Orenburg-2 is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 2.5:4.5).
Including home match between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6.
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Korobov V. (G) 
Zhelannikov A. 
Degtyarov M. 
Salimov R. 
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