Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Orenburg-2		KDV Tomsk

	1	X	2
	4.78	3.8	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↑ (3.54)	3.8 ↑ (3.4)	1.59 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg-2
19%

Draw
23.9%

KDV Tomsk
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

27%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

26.1%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orenburg-2's form might have worsened.

KDV Tomsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KDV Tomsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KDV Tomsk than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KDV Tomsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orenburg 2 - KDV Tomsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Frolov Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 2 - 0, Morozov I. ⚽,
82', 3 - 0, Gulko I. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Orenburg-2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

KDV is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, KDV is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Orenburg-2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KDV Tomsk	28	20	2	6	46:29	17	62

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg-2
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
18.05.26	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Orenburg-2	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Rubin 2 Kazan - Orenburg-2	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Orenburg-2 - Nosta Novotroitsk	3:0 ✺
29.04.26	Orenburg-2 - Dynamo Barnaul	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Orenburg-2 - Akron Tolyatti 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWTW
- KDV Tomsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
17.05.26	KDV Tomsk - Rubin 2 Kazan	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Nosta Novotroitsk - KDV Tomsk	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	KDV Tomsk - Dynamo Barnaul	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Akron Tolyatti 2 - KDV Tomsk	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	KDV Tomsk - Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
31.08.25	KDV Tomsk - Orenburg-2	2:1
25.05.25	Orenburg-2 - KDV Tomsk	2:2

Orenburg-2 - KDV Tomsk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide