Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 12

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema (Lisbon)


	Oriental		Alcochetense

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.44	3.26	2.58
	2.47	3.29	2.61	Watch
	2.45	3	2.63
	2.44	3.14	2.6
	2.42	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.32)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	2.6 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
36.9%

Draw
28.4%

Alcochetense
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

28.9%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Oriental - Alcochetense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
72', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Oriental has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Alcochetense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Lagoa - Oriental	6:3 ✺
29.11.25	Alverca B - Oriental	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Oriental - Elvas	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Oriental	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oriental - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT
- GD Alcochetense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Alcochetense - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Elvas - Alcochetense	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Alcochetense - Juventude de Évora	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Louletano - Alcochetense	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Alcochetense - Sintrense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Oriental - Alcochetense	2:1

Oriental - Alcochetense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide