Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Engenheiro Carlos Salema (Lisbon)


	Oriental		Elvas

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.2	3.01	2.17
	3.57	3.09	2.04	Watch
	3.17	3.1	2.16
	2.6	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.6)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
29.1%

Draw
29.5%

Elvas
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.1%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oriental - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Oriental has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elvas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Oriental may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Juventude de Évora - Oriental	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Oriental - Louletano	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Sintrense - Oriental	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Oriental - Portimonense B	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Oriental - Fafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWL
- O Elvas CAD
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.25	Elvas - Alverca B	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Lagoa - Elvas	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Juventude de Évora - Elvas	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Elvas - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.09.25	Marco 09 - Elvas	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.03.24	Oriental - Elvas	2:1
05.11.23	Elvas - Oriental	1:1

Oriental - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide