Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 18

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Oriental Dragon		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	4	3.4	1.7
	3.35	3.13	2.14
	3.24	3.22	2.08
	3.15	3.1	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↓ (4.82)	3.17 ↓ (3.74)	2.05 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
27%

Draw
28.7%

Atlético CP
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

24.2%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

23.4%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental Dragon's performance.

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético CP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental Dragon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético CP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Oriental Dragon is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético CP is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Atlético CP is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriental Dragon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Serpa - Oriental Dragon	0:1 ✺
29.01.23	Oriental Dragon - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
22.01.23	Juventude de Évora - Oriental Dragon	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Oriental Dragon - Esperança de Lagos	0:2 ✺
11.01.23	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLLT
- Atlético CP
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
05.02.23	Atlético CP - Olhanense	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
22.01.23	Atlético CP - Rabo de Peixe	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Angrense - Atlético CP	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Atlético CP - Ferreiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Atlético CP - Oriental Dragon	2:2

Oriental Dragon - Atlético CP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide