Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Oriental Dragon		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	1.95
	3.3	3.2	2.03
	3.84	3.13	2.01
	3.6	3.24	1.95
	3.35	3.2	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (4.28)	3.14 ↓ (3.6)	2 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
25.7%

Draw
28.9%

Lusitano GC
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

25.2%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

24.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitano GC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs)).

Oriental Dragon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lusitano GC is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Juventude de Évora - Oriental Dragon	3:1 ✺
15.01.23	Oriental Dragon - Esperança de Lagos	0:2 ✺
11.01.23	Praiense - Oriental Dragon	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Oriental Dragon - Imortal	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Oriental Dragon - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW
- Lusitano GC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Lusitano GC - Olhanense	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Lusitano GC	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Rabo de Peixe - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Lusitano GC - Angrense	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Atlético CP - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLWT

Oriental Dragon - Lusitano GC

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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