Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.33	9.5
	1.26	4.65	9.8
	1.26	5.06	10.62	Watch
	1.29	4.6	11
	1.26	4.55	11.5
	1.25	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.39)	4.7 ↑ (4.07)	10.57 ↑ (6.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
71.9%

Draw
19.4%

Colonia Moscardó
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

22.2%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.2%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Orihuela - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Solsona J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, Segovia D. ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Orihuela have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Moscardó has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Orihuela is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Getafe B - Orihuela	2:3 ✺
14.12.25	Orihuela - Las Palmas B	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Conquense - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Orihuela - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLL
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Quintanar del Rey	1:5 ✺
14.12.25	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Fuenlabrada - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Intercity	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

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