Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4
	1.78	3.3	4.15
	1.74	3.46	4.85
	1.96	3.32	3.64	Watch
	1.78	3.76	4.17
	1.75	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.92)	3.45 ↑ (3.2)	4.26 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
51.6%

Draw
26.7%

Alcalá
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.2%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

26.9%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+2%)

Orihuela - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Sanchez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Monterde J. 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Orihuela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Orihuela has had a series of away games.

In this match, Orihuela is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.11.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
19.11.25	Coria - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Orihuela - Rayo Vallecano B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
02.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Orihuela	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.11.25	Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Elche Ilicitano - Alcalá	3:3 ✺
12.11.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Alcalá	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Alcalá - Intercity	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Socuéllamos - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWT

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