Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 21

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Orihuela		El Palo

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.95	4
	1.95	3.1	4	Watch
	1.94	2.84	3.71
	1.93	2.89	4.77
	1.89	3.08	4.47
	1.97	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.8)	4.16 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
47.4%

Draw
30.7%

El Palo
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

32.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

31.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Orihuela - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Orihuela is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches El Palo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Orihuela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Orihuela - Vélez	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Sevilla B - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Orihuela - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLTWW
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	El Palo - Marbella	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	El Palo - UCAM Murcia	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Vélez - El Palo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Sevilla B - El Palo	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	El Palo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.09.23	El Palo - Orihuela	1:2

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