Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 17

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	San Roque de Lepe		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.27	2.98	3.42
	2.27	2.9	3.42
	2.15	2.9	3.2
	2.19	3.04	3.26
	2.17	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.31)	3 ↑ (2.9)	3.26 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Roque de Lepe
41.5%

Draw
30.5%

Orihuela
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Roque de Lepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

San Roque de Lepe - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches San Roque de Lepe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Orihuela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Roque de Lepe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	El Palo - San Roque de Lepe	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	San Roque de Lepe - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
03.12.23	Vélez - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Sevilla B	1:2 ✺
18.11.23	San Roque de Lepe - Marbella	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLLW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.12.23	Orihuela - Racing Cartagena MM	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Linense - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.12.23	Orihuela - Girona	2:5 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
02.12.23	Orihuela - Cadiz CF B	2:4 ✺
26.11.23	Estepona - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLT

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