The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orihuela 33.5%
Draw 36.6%
La Nucía 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
32.8%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
22.2%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orihuela's form might have worsened.
La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Nucía could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orihuela - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 3 (Second stage)).
Orihuela has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches La Nucía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Orihuela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.