Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.9	2.75	2.7
	2.9	2.79	2.67
	2.88	2.78	2.63	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.55
	2.9	2.75	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.46)	2.79 ↓ (3.02)	2.62 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
32%

Draw
32.9%

UCAM Murcia
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.4%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.5%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orihuela's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orihuela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-3%)

Orihuela - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Bouzaig A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Orihuela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCAM Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	Xerez Deportivo - Orihuela	2:2 ✺
15.09.24	Orihuela - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Minera - Orihuela	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Orihuela - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.24	Crevillente Deportivo - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTT
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Pozoblanco	3:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Cadiz CF B	4:0 ✺
15.09.24	Juventud de Torremolinos - UCAM Murcia	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Xerez CD - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Orihuela	0:2
17.09.23	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	1:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Orihuela - UCAM Murcia	3:2

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