Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 8

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de La Condomina (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Estepona

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.9
	1.91	3.27	3.88
	1.86	3.17	4.16	Watch
	1.91	3.18	4.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.88)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	4.02 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
48.4%

Draw
28.8%

Estepona
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

29.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Estepona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estepona than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

UCAM Murcia - Estepona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Soto A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Mizzian M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

UCAM Murcia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Estepona has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, UCAM Murcia is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UCAM Murcia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.10.25	Almeria B - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTT
- CD Estepona
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
18.10.25	Estepona - Yeclano Deportivo	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Malagueño - Estepona	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Xerez CD - Estepona	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Estepona - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
19.01.25	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:1
08.09.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0
24.03.24	UCAM Murcia - Estepona	1:0
12.11.23	Estepona - UCAM Murcia	1:0

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