Match Info

Prva NL - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Krimeja (Rijeka)


	Orijent		Jarun Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.5	6
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.52	3.65	5.5
	1.53	3.82	5.89
	1.82	3.02	4.82	Watch
	1.5	3.68	6.23
	1.53	3.65	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.79)	3.57 ↑ (3.16)	5.58 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orijent
58.3%

Draw
25.5%

Jarun Zagreb
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

28.4%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

27%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orijent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orijent's performance.

Jarun Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orijent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarun Zagreb than the current prediction. (+4%)

Orijent - Jarun Zagreb Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bazdaric V. (G) 20. Bilajac J. 2. Braut F. 24. Burcul B. 27. Gajzler N. 18. Kordic-Gruzic M. 6. Panic B. 4. Prpic D. 11. Resetar D. 28. Tadejevic M. 22. Usalj D.	72. Krizanovic I. (G) 11. Al Ghoul H. 2. Grdenic T. 19. Jug P. 10. Luetic K. 4. Mackovic M. 22. Maloca M. 21. Miljak T. 26. Ndiaye S. 20. Ocvirek N. 34. Reyvandi A.
Substitutes
7. Bilobrk B. 1. Curac D. (G) 8. Medojevic N. 19. Paskvan D. 9. Saho C. 13. Stasic N. A. 14. Valincic R. 21. Zrilic F. 5. Zubovic D.	15. Balen P. 14. Buzic M. 5. Djire A. 12. Dropucic L. (G) 18. Dunic M. 16. Knezevic L. 9. Lozic I. 30. Mamic I. 6. Piplica Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Burcul B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orijent won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Orijent is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Orijent won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Orijent won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
28.09.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Orijent	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Cibalia - Orijent	0:2 ✺
17.09.25	Orijent - Sesvete	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Opatija - Orijent	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Orijent - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTTT
- Jarun Zagreb
Croatian Prva NL
27.09.25	Jarun Zagreb - Cibalia	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Sesvete - Jarun Zagreb	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Jarun Zagreb - Opatija	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Bijelo Brdo - Jarun Zagreb	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Hrvace - Jarun Zagreb	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
31.05.25	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	1:4
08.03.25	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	1:2
12.10.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	1:1
01.06.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	0:0
04.11.23	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	0:1
21.08.23	Jarun Zagreb - Orijent	4:2
08.04.23	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	4:0

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