Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 26

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-africa	SABC 1, SABC Plus


	Orlando Pirates		Kaizer Chiefs

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	5.5
	1.46	3.9	6.9
	1.5	3.85	8.46
	1.41	4.03	7.84	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7.5
	1.55	3.77	6.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	3.81 ↑ (3.49)	7.08 ↑ (6.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
62.5%

Draw
24.4%

Kaizer Chiefs
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

26.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

28.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Kaizer Chiefs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (G) 36. Sebelebele K. 33. Seema L. 5. Sibisi N. (C) 7. Hotto D. 16. Mbatha T. 8. Makhaula M. 12. Appollis O. 38. Mofokeng R. 11. Moremi T. 9. Mbuthuma Y.	1. Petersen B. (C) 2. Monyane T. 25. Msimango S. G. 35. McCarthy A. 48. Cross B. 6. Maboe L. 5. Mthethwa S. 99. Lilepo M. 13. Mmodi P. 47. Duba W. 8. Ndlovu S.
Substitutes
35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 43. Chabatsane M. 46. Dansin C. 14. De Jong A. 17. Makgopa E. 28. Maswanganyi P. 3. Ndaba N. 15. Nemtajela M. 21. van Rooyen D.	44. Bvuma B. (G) 21. Cele T. 23. Chislett E. 39. Frosler R. 84. Inacio Miguel 7. Shabalala M. 77. Silva F. 17. Velebayi A. 28. Vilakazi M.
Coaches
Ouaddou A.	Ben Youssef K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Moremi T. ↓, Maswanganyi P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Makhaula M. ↓, Nemtajela M. ↑,
46', Mthethwa S. ↓, Shabalala M. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Mmodi P. ⚽, Duba W. (A),
67', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Sebelebele K. ⚽,
75', Duba W. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
85', Appollis O. ↓, Ndaba N. ↑,
90+2', Ndlovu S. ↓, Cele T. ↑,
90+6', Mmodi P. ↓, Velebayi A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 4.

Orlando Pirates is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kaizer Chiefs is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orlando Pirates may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Orlando Pirates is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Orlando Pirates will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Orlando Pirates	7	6	1	0	16:1	15	19
4	Kaizer Chiefs	7	3	4	0	12:7	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
South African Premier Soccer League
18.04.26	Orlando Pirates - AmaZulu	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Richards Bay - Orlando Pirates	2:2 ✺
07.04.26	Orlando Pirates - Lamontville Golden Arrows	5:0 ✺
22.03.26	TS Galaxy - Orlando Pirates	0:6 ✺
14.03.26	Orlando Pirates - Siwelele	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTWWT
- Kaizer Chiefs
South African Premier Soccer League
18.04.26	Polokwane City - Kaizer Chiefs	0:0 ✺
15.04.26	Magesi - Kaizer Chiefs	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Kaizer Chiefs - TS Galaxy	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Orbit College - Kaizer Chiefs	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Magesi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
28.02.26	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	0:3
South African Nedbank Cup
10.05.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	2:1
South African Premier Soccer League
03.05.25	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	1:2
01.02.25	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	1:0
09.03.24	Orlando Pirates - Kaizer Chiefs	3:2
11.11.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Nedbank Cup
06.05.23	Kaizer Chiefs - Orlando Pirates	1:2

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