Match Info

Carling Knockout - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action
Kenya	Gotv
Nigeria	SuperSport Action
South-africa	SuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4


	Orlando Pirates		Magesi

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.45	6.7
	1.61	3.38	5.93	Watch
	1.58	4.09	5.25
	1.28	4.33	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.36)	3.81 ↓ (4)	6.97 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando Pirates
62.2%

Draw
24.4%

Magesi
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

22.5%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

21.4%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Magesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando Pirates, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magesi than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Orlando Pirates - Magesi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Orlando Pirates (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Chaine S. (G) 37. Lebitso T. 33. Seema L. 44. Mbokazi M. (C) 3. Ndaba N. 46. Dansin C. 28. Maswanganyi P. 15. Nemtajela M. 12. Appollis O. 9. Mbuthuma Y. 11. Moremi T.	1. Chipezeze E. (C) 2. Mashigo T. 34. Mokone L. 4. Makgoga T. 8. Mokone J. M. 26. Mtshali L. 63. Zungu N. 40. Mosadi K. 37. Sibanyoni T. 21. Chirambadare E. 38. Seseane A.
Substitutes
35. Buthelezi M. N. (G) 18. Dlamini K. 7. Hotto D. 17. Makgopa E. 16. Mbatha T. 23. Mbule S. 36. Sebelebele K. 5. Sibisi N. 21. van Rooyen D.	3. Buthelezi M. 6. Darpoh S. 22. Mahlasela K. 41. Makhubu W. 5. Mariba K. 27. Modise T. 29. Mofokeng D. 24. Tshabalala M. (G) 10. Vandala M.
Coaches
Ouaddou A.	Maduka J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Mokone J. M. 🟨,
35', Chipezeze E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Moremi T. ⚽, Ndaba N. (A),
62', Zungu N. ↓, Darpoh S. ↑,
62', Seseane A. ↓, Makhubu W. ↑,
68', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Makgopa E. ↑,
73', Chirambadare E. ↓, Vandala M. ↑,
77', Mtshali L. 🟨,
79', Dansin C. ↓, Mbule S. ↑,
79', Appollis O. ↓, Dlamini K. ↑,
79', Ndaba N. ↓, Hotto D. ↑,
84', Makhubu W. 🟨,
84', Sibanyoni T. ↓, Mahlasela K. ↑,
84', Mtshali L. ↓, Mariba K. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Makgopa E. ⚽, Maswanganyi P. (A),
90+1', Moremi T. ↓, Sebelebele K. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Mokone J. M. ⚽, Mokone L. (A),

Preview

Orlando Pirates has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Magesi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Orlando Pirates may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of home games.

In this match, Orlando Pirates is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando Pirates
CAF Champions League
25.10.25	Orlando Pirates - Saint-Éloi Lupopo	3:1 penalties ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
22.10.25	Orlando Pirates - Polokwane City	1:0 ✺
South African Knockout
04.10.25	Orlando Pirates - Siwelele	1:0 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
30.09.25	Orlando Pirates - TS Galaxy	2:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
27.09.25	Orlando Pirates - Lioli	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW
- Magesi FC
South African Premier Soccer League
18.10.25	Magesi - TS Galaxy	2:1 ✺
South African Knockout
05.10.25	AmaZulu - Magesi	2:3 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
27.09.25	Durban City - Magesi	3:1 ✺
24.09.25	Richards Bay - Magesi	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Magesi - Siwelele	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
28.05.25	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	1:1
29.12.24	Magesi - Orlando Pirates	0:1
South African Knockout
19.10.24	Orlando Pirates - Magesi	2:3

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