Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Estadio Olaya Herrera (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Orsomarso

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	2.88	4.25	Watch
	1.96	2.98	4.26
	2.04	2.86	4.33	Watch
	1.91	2.75	4.2
	1.86	2.86	4.71	Watch
	1.92	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.82)	2.89 ↓ (3.22)	4.33 ↓ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
47.2%

Draw
31.7%

Orsomarso
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.9%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

30.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Orsomarso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cundinamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Orsomarso will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. (C) 27. Amaya J. 5. Cabezas E. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 30. Cuero Fabian 8. Gomez C. 3. Moreno S. 7. Salcedo J. 11. Valencia Y.	12. Grisales J. (G) 6. Agamez S. 9. Arrechea S. 24. Balanta J. 13. Barreiro J. 20. Gomez L. 14. Martinez E. 28. Mosquera L. 10. Ruiz A. 3. Salinas J. 2. Vargas N.
Substitutes
21. Alba J. 35. Barrios L. 6. Hoyos J. 12. Mosquera D. (G) 9. Negrete C. 18. Obregon L. 32. Quinones S. 34. Sanchez J. 14. Zavala K.	1. Arango H. (G) 7. Girado S. 4. Lasso M. 29. Martinez S. 23. Parra J. 8. Zarante

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Acosta O. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Real Cundinamarca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orsomarso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Orsomarso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Cundinamarca is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23
14	Orsomarso	11	2	4	5	7:11	-4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
14.02.26	Real Santander - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Real Cundinamarca - Leones	2:0 ✺
05.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Real Cartagena - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Real Cundinamarca - Envigado	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWTLL
- Orsomarso SC
Colombian Primera B
17.02.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Orsomarso	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Orsomarso - Patriotas	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Tigres - Orsomarso	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Orsomarso - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Barranquilla - Orsomarso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
07.10.25	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	1:1
28.04.25	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	0:1
22.07.24	Real Cundinamarca - Orsomarso	2:0
04.02.24	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	1:1
08.10.23	Orsomarso - Real Cundinamarca	0:0

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