Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 8

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Orvietana		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	2.99	3.11	2.29	Watch
	3.02	3.02	2.29
	2.98	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.29 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
30.4%

Draw
29.8%

Grosseto
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

29.6%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Orvietana - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Montini A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 2.

In recent matches, Orvietana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grosseto is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Orvietana won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.10.25	Montevarchi - Orvietana	0:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Orvietana - Siena	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Orvietana - Foligno	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Orvietana - Ghiviborgo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
12.10.25	Grosseto - Tau Altopascio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Grosseto - UniPomezia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Grosseto - Camaiore	1:1 ✺
24.09.25	Cannara - Grosseto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
05.01.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	2:1
08.09.24	Grosseto - Orvietana	3:0
28.04.24	Grosseto - Orvietana	2:1
17.12.23	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1
05.03.23	Orvietana - Grosseto	4:1
30.10.22	Grosseto - Orvietana	1:0

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