Match Info

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday ⏱️ In 3d 7h 📅 Remind Me


	Vado		Grosseto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.28
	2.95	3.38	2.21	Watch
	2.88	3.32	2.17
	2.57	3.25	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	3.29 ↓ (3.44)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vado
32.2%

Draw
27.6%

Grosseto
40.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.8%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vado than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Vado - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals)).

Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Vado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	11	6	4	1	23:13	10	22
10	Vado	11	4	3	4	12:11	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Grosseto - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vado
Italian Serie C Group B
23.10.26	Ostia Mare - Vado	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Vado - Sambenedettese	2:2 ✺
11.10.26	Perugia - Vado	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Vado - Forlì	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Sassari Torres - Vado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WTWWT
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.26	Grosseto - Reggiana	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Livorno - Grosseto	4:4 ✺
10.10.26	Vis Pesaro - Grosseto	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Pineto - Grosseto	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLW

Vado - Grosseto