Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Orvietana		Tau Altopascio

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.34	2.33	Watch
	2.69	3.18	2.34
	2.75	3.3	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.7)	3.27 ↑ (3.2)	2.33 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orvietana
33.3%

Draw
27.8%

Tau Altopascio
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.3%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Orvietana - Tau Altopascio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).

Orvietana has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orvietana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Orvietana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orvietana Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.11.25	Orvietana - Trestina	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Camaiore - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
22.10.25	Valmontone - Orvietana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group E
19.10.25	Orvietana - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Montevarchi - Orvietana	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLW
- Tau Altopascio
Italian Serie D - Group E
02.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Montevarchi	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Trestina - Tau Altopascio	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tau Altopascio - Seravezza Pozzi	2:2 ✺
12.10.25	Grosseto - Tau Altopascio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Tau Altopascio - Pistoiese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.01.24	Tau Altopascio - Orvietana	1:0
10.09.23	Orvietana - Tau Altopascio	0:2
22.01.23	Tau Altopascio - Orvietana	3:4

Orvietana - Tau Altopascio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide