Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 7

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo De Febres (Lagoinhas)


	Os Marialvas		Oliveira Hospital

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.1	2.52
	1.91	3.26	3.81	Watch
	2.58	3.06	2.53
	1.86	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.89)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.15 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
41.4%

Draw
29.2%

Oliveira Hospital
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Os Marialvas's form might have worsened.

Oliveira Hospital has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oliveira Hospital's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveira Hospital, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Os Marialvas - Oliveira Hospital Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
54', 🟥,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Marialvas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marialvas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Marialvas is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.10.25	Marinhense - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Os Marialvas - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	1:0 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	União da Serra - Os Marialvas	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
31.08.25	Académica Coimbra - Os Marialvas	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLLW
- Oliveira Hospital
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.10.25	Lajense - Oliveira Hospital	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Oliveira Hospital - Naval	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Mortágua - Oliveira Hospital	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Silves - Oliveira Hospital	3:2 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.09.25	Oliveira Hospital - Fatima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLLW

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