Match Info
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 6Date: 5 October 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal da Marinha Grande (Leiria)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marinhense |
|
Os Marialvas |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.27 |
2.85 |
3.07 |
|
 |
2.43 |
2.93 |
2.99 |
 Watch |
 |
2.23 |
3.1 |
3.05 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.1) |
2.95 ↓
(3) |
2.93 ↓
(3.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marinhense
38.1% | Draw
30.9% | Os Marialvas
31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Os Marialvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marinhense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-4.5%)Marinhense - Os Marialvas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately. Marinhense will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).Including home match between the teams, Marinhense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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