Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Cantanhede (Cantanhede)


	Os Marialvas		Rebordosa

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.1
	3	3.2	2.1
	4	2.81	2.02
	3.86	2.96	2.04	Watch
	3	3.25	2.1
	3.79	3.32	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (3.18)	3.13 ↓ (3.15)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
26.5%

Draw
29.2%

Rebordosa
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

27.7%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Rebordosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Os Marialvas - Rebordosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	31. Mota R. (G)
	2. Almeida Teixeira E.
	7. Djadjo D.
	3. Freitas Brandao R. F.
	6. Goncalves L.
	16. Pipo (C)
	4. Silva Fonseca S. F.
	21. Silva M.
	77. Soares Almeida D.
	8. Touoyou Njoya A.
	80. Ventura
Substitutes
	. Botelho G.
	. Carvalho R.
	. Costa D.
	1. dos Santos P. (G)
	25. Leal E.
	19. Leao Pinto R. F.
	26. Ribeiro Martins L. M.
	. Rocha R.
	. Santos I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Djadjo D. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Freitas Brandao R. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Freire J. ⚽,
61', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
87', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Marialvas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rebordosa is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rebordosa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
06.10.24	Os Marialvas - Alcains	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Pombal - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Os Marialvas - Tondela	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
15.09.24	Mortágua - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Os Marialvas - Arronches Benfica	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWTL
- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.10.24	Os Sandinenses - Rebordosa	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Rebordosa - Paredes	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Rebordosa - Bragança	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
15.09.24	Limianos - Rebordosa	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
07.09.24	Rebordosa - Juventude Gaula	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLWWW

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