Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Azevido (Rebordosa)


	Rebordosa		Bragança

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.92
	2.38	2.86	2.92
	2.46	2.82	3.01	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.32	3.08	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.13)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
38.3%

Draw
31%

Bragança
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

30.8%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Bragança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Rebordosa - Bragança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 1 - 0, Makinde K. ⚽,
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Rebordosa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bragança has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rebordosa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	GD Braganca	4	3	1	0	7:2	5	10
9	Rebordosa	4	1	1	2	2:3	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Rebordosa - Vianense	0:3 ✺
03.05.26	Leça - Rebordosa	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.04.26	Florgrade - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Rebordosa - Leça	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
10.05.26	Bragança - Leça	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Vianense - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Bragança - Vilaverdense	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Chaves B - Bragança	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
26.04.26	Bragança - Rebordosa	2:1
09.03.25	Rebordosa - Bragança	0:0
10.11.24	Bragança - Rebordosa	3:0
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Rebordosa - Bragança	2:1

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