Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 22

Date: 2 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Osdorf		Union Tornesch

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	3.1
	2	3.45	2.9
	2.55	3.9	2.07
	1.99	3.99	3.15
	1.88	3.5	3.2
	1.85	4.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.6)	3.77 ↓ (3.95)	2.94 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osdorf
44.9%

Draw
24.2%

Union Tornesch
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

22.7%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

20.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Osdorf's performance.

Union Tornesch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Tornesch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osdorf than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Tornesch than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Tornesch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	22.2%	33.3%

Osdorf - Union Tornesch Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Osdorf will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Union Tornesch will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osdorf: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osdorf won 3.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Osdorf could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Osdorf won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Osdorf won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TuS Osdorf
German Oberliga Hamburg
25.11.22	Osdorf - Altona	3:4 ✺
19.11.22	Curslack Neuengamme - Osdorf	3:3 ✺
11.11.22	TuRa Harksheide - Osdorf	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Osdorf - HEBC Hamburg	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Süderelbe - Osdorf	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTT
- Union Tornesch
German Oberliga Hamburg
19.11.22	Altona - Union Tornesch	5:2 ✺
12.11.22	Dassendorf - Union Tornesch	4:1 ✺
06.11.22	Union Tornesch - Curslack Neuengamme	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Union Tornesch - TSV Buchholz 08	1:2 ✺
21.10.22	TuRa Harksheide - Union Tornesch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
14.08.22	Union Tornesch - Osdorf	1:0
22.10.21	Osdorf - Union Tornesch	3:2
15.08.21	Union Tornesch - Osdorf	2:4
16.10.20	Osdorf - Union Tornesch	4:1
06.12.19	Osdorf - Union Tornesch	2:2
11.08.19	Union Tornesch - Osdorf	1:1

Osdorf - Union Tornesch