Match Info

HNL - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Opus Arena (Osijek) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	18:00	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Osijek		Rudeš

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.9	5.5
	1.46	4.50	6.25
	1.49	4.15	5.5
	1.5	4.38	7.16
	1.43	4.7	6.5	Watch
	1.48	3.9	7.05
	1.57	4.13	5.82	Watch
	1.45	4.25	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	4.24 ↓ (4.57)	6.16 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osijek
62.9%

Draw
22%

Rudeš
15.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64%

20.4%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

19.7%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Rudeš has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Rudeš aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Osijek - Rudeš Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osijek (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - NK Osijek (1.44) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Osijek will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Malenica M. (C) 22. Kruiver J. 98. Jezic I. 26. Jelenic L. 2. Heister M. 18. Farkas N. 16. Petrusenko O. 39. Bukvic D. 11. Tunjic L. 30. Ljatifi A. 79. Leon A.	95. Rogic L. (C) 42. Zebic M. 5. Stolnik M. 29. Bralic S. 2. Unusic B. 24. Djoric I. 37. Skoko N. 27. Felipe Curcio 10. Seitz V. 88. El Haddad S. 78. Fernandes J.
Substitutes
67. Bakti B. 99. Balelo 9. Baric I. 21. Cantero A. 1. Curcija N. (G) 7. Dolcek I. 47. Kalem D. 49. Kolarik I. 77. Mustafic S. 24. Posavec L. 17. Sabo M.	1. Holjevac F. (G) 7. Ilecic L. 14. Kolega T. 34. Lovric K. 33. Pejic J. 11. Poldrugac J. 8. Popovic L. 19. Saho C. 30. Slogar M. 44. Taraba F. 26. Zutic I.
Coaches
Bessone F.	Peternac A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Bukvic D. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
27', El Haddad S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Farkas N. ↓, Bakti B. ↑,
57', Bralic S. 🟨,
60', El Haddad S. ↓, Poldrugac J. ↑,
60', Fernandes J. ↓, Saho C. ↑,
60', Seitz V. ↓, Ilecic L. ↑,
62', Tunjic L. ↓, Baric I. ↑,
75', Djoric I. 🟨,
78', Skoko N. ↓, Popovic L. ↑,
78', Ljatifi A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
79', Heister M. ↓, Kalem D. ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Saho C. ⚽,
85', Unusic B. ↓, Taraba F. ↑,
87', Taraba F. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10th in the Relegation - Prva NL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Recently, Osijek has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The betting markets point to Osijek as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Osijek: Caic V. (Inactive) Hasic E. (Inactive) Jezic J. (Inactive) Matkovic A. (Knee Injury) Mejia Moscoso D. M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Rudeš: Allyson (Inactive) Celjak V. (Red Card).

Doubtful / questionable for Rudeš: Vukic S. (Inactive).

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Osijek has recorded 11 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 35:12 (averaging 2.5:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Osijek against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 14:3 goals (averaging 2.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Osijek	11	5	2	4	19:16	3	17
9	Rudes	11	3	1	7	14:27	-13	10

Outrights of Croatian HNL for now

Osijek: 0.89% Rudes: 0.35%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
17.10.26	Osijek - Gorica	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Osijek - Istra 1961	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Osijek - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
Croatian HNL
19.09.26	Varaždin - Osijek	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLTTW
- NK Rudeš
Croatian HNL
16.10.26	Rudeš - Rijeka	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Gorica - Rudeš	1:2 ✺
18.09.26	Rudeš - Slaven Belupo	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Istra 1961 - Rudeš	3:2 ✺
Croatian Cup
09.09.26	Koprivnica - Rudeš	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.08.26	Rudeš - Osijek	1:6
05.04.24	Rudeš - Osijek	2:3
27.01.24	Osijek - Rudeš	2:0
07.10.23	Osijek - Rudeš	3:0
30.07.23	Rudeš - Osijek	3:4
Croatian Cup
26.10.21	Rudeš - Osijek	0:2
Croatian HNL
12.04.19	Osijek - Rudeš	2:0

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