The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Osipovichi 32.5%
Draw 26.4%
Smorgon 41.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
24%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
23.5%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osipovichi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osipovichi than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-2%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Gurinovich R. (G) 27. Alekseev I. 17. Emeljanov A. (C) 12. Grin A. 23. Kukhotskovolets A. 9. Kulikov D. 8. Lapin D. 25. Lomako S. 14. Minets T. 15. Petrovsky O. 2. Ssorin D.
1. Azarko M. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. (C) 5. Elagin K. 33. Fazylov A. 78. Kovalevich V. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.
Substitutes
6. Azarov M. 10. Denisenko D. 7. Drapeza V. 21. Elezarenko E. 29. Korzhenevskiy I. 11. Kovardaev T. 31. Markevich A. 3. Matlakh A. 1. Petrashko N. (G) 4. Zhordochkin M.
59. Devyaten A. 22. Galko V. 10. Gorbach P. 30. Khalimonchikov D. 25. Kovalev D. 11. Sivkov I. 20. Snetkov A. 99. Starovoytov A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Fazylov A. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
56', 0 - 2, Fazylov A. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
59', 0 - 3, Devyaten A. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
74', 0 - 4, Gorbach P. ⚽,
80', 🟨,
81', 0 - 5, Khalimonchikov D. ⚽, Starovoytov A. (A),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Osipovichi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Osipovichi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Osipovichi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Osipovichi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.