Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Lida

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.55	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)	3.55 ↓ (3.6)	2.24 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
33.7%

Draw
25.6%

Lida
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.3%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

25.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Denisenko A. (G) 3. Autko M. 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 5. Elagin K. 33. Fazylov A. 22. Galko V. 78. Kovalevich V. 52. Mychelkin E. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.	25. Gremza E. (G) 7. Gradoboev D. 22. Gribovskiy R. 4. Ivanovsky V. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 3. Legchilin A. 2. Poznyak A. 17. Puzach A. 5. Tymonyuk I.
Substitutes
1. Azarko M. (G) 59. Devyaten A. 25. Kovalev D. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 20. Snetkov A. 99. Starovoytov A. 19. Velesyuk A. (G)	20. Chernyak K. 8. Galushko A. 14. Khodyko D. 15. Kontsevoy I. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 23. Zaytsev E. 21. Zhurnevich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Legchilin A. ⚽, Kutsepalov D. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Dukso M. ⚽, Kovalev D. (A),
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
56', 2 - 1, Kovalevich V. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
76', 2 - 2, Puzach A. ⚽, Legchilin A. (A),
78', 2 - 3, Puzach A. ⚽, Galushko A. (A),
85', 3 - 3, Nsangou J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 4, Puzach A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', 4 - 4, Devyaten A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 3.

Smorgon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lida has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Vertikal Kalinkovichi - Smorgon	0:7 ✺
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Niva Dolbizno - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Smorgon - SKA-1938	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Slutsk - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLTL
- FC Lida
Belarusian Cup
27.05.26	Shchuchyn - Lida	3:4
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
23.05.26	Lida - BumProm Gomel	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Minsk 2 - Lida	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Lida - Osipovichi	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Lida - Soligorsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.09.22	Lida - Smorgon	1:3
07.05.22	Smorgon - Lida	2:0
13.09.20	Lida - Smorgon	0:0
09.05.20	Smorgon - Lida	1:0
Club Friendly
04.03.20	Lida - Smorgon	1:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
07.09.19	Smorgon - Lida	0:0
05.05.19	Lida - Smorgon	2:1

Smorgon - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide