Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 20

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Oskarshamn (Oskarshamn)


	Oskarshamn		Nosaby

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.10	5.25
	1.45	4.3	5.5
	1.36	4.63	6.18
	1.44	4.55	5.82	Watch
	1.34	4.55	6.1
	1.33	5.1	7.51
	1.3	4.85	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.68)	4.58 ↑ (3.65)	6.16 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oskarshamn
65.5%

Draw
19.8%

Nosaby
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

24.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

21.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oskarshamn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oskarshamn's performance.

Nosaby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nosaby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oskarshamn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nosaby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oskarshamn - Nosaby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Askar H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
76', 1 - 1, Ayonuga O. ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, Andersson L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 6).

Oskarshamn is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Nosaby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Oskarshamn is a strong favorite.

We predict that Oskarshamn will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oskarshamn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oskarshamn	24	14	3	7	60:30	30	45
5	Nosaby	24	11	6	7	45:39	6	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
29.08.26	Staffanstorp United - Oskarshamn	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Oskarshamn - Linero	7:1 ✺
16.08.26	Österlen - Oskarshamn	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Oskarshamn - Karlshamn	5:0 ✺
02.08.26	Lilla Torg - Oskarshamn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW
- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
29.08.26	Karlshamn - Nosaby	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nosaby - Torn	5:0 ✺
18.08.26	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	0:3 ✺
14.08.26	Sölvesborg - Nosaby	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Karlskrona - Nosaby	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
01.05.26	Nosaby - Oskarshamn	4:0

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