Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 28

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Oskarshamn (Oskarshamn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Oskarshamn		Onsala

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4.1	4.1
	1.57	4.2	4.75
	1.65	5.03	4.24
	1.62	4.66	4.3	Watch
	1.57	4.35	4.63
	1.57	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.44)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	4.46 ↓ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oskarshamn
58.2%

Draw
21%

Onsala
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

20.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

13.9%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oskarshamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oskarshamn's form might have worsened.

Onsala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Onsala's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskarshamn than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oskarshamn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onsala than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Oskarshamn - Onsala Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Uppenberg M. (G) 18. Alnator T. 77. Courtrai J. 4. Eriksson A. 3. Jobe S. 10. Niklasson R. 17. Nilsson S. 26. Nyholm A. 27. Renato 15. Samuelsson O. 9. Tesfay J.	73. Isero I. (G) 9. Andersson V. 8. Berglund W. 13. Borjesson A. 11. Ekdahl H. 15. Hilvenius V. 6. Johansson M. 3. Levinson A. 10. Lindstrom H. 14. Wennergrund F. 21. Wennergrund M.
Substitutes
19. Arvidsson G. 7. Burehed C. 21. Gabrielsson O. 1. Hartmann M. (G) 23. Jibodu A. 8. Olaniyan O. 6. Tuhral A.	2. Bjornberg H. 12. Glaerum V. 5. Heaver S. 16. Nygaard A. 7. Palmquist J. 19. Parker S. 1. Westgards E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Niklasson R. ⚽,
24', Levinson A. 🟨,
25', 2 - 0, Renato ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Levinson A. ⚽,
39', 3 - 1, Tesfay J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Borjesson A. ↓, Glaerum V. ↑,
46', Hilvenius V. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
46', Ekdahl H. ↓, Palmquist J. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Glaerum V. ⚽, Wennergrund F. (A),
62', Nyholm A. ↓, Gabrielsson O. ↑,
62', Alnator T. ↓, Jibodu A. ↑,
62', Berglund W. ↓, Bjornberg H. ↑,
67', Palmquist J. 🟨,
86', Niklasson R. ↓, Arvidsson G. ↑,
87', Parker S. 🟨,
87', Palmquist J. 🟨,
90+4', Courtrai J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Onsala is Relegated to

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Oskarshamn is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oskarshamn won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oskarshamns AIK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
19.10.24	Torslanda - Oskarshamn	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Oskarshamn - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Oskarshamn - Trollhättan	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Rosengård 1917 - Oskarshamn	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Oskarshamn - Olympic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTLWL
- Onsala BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
20.10.24	Onsala - Tvååker	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Ljungskile - Onsala	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Onsala - Rosengård 1917	2:2 ✺
28.09.24	Lunds - Onsala	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Onsala - Ängelholm	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.05.24	Onsala - Oskarshamn	2:3

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