Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Arzachena

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.95	2.4
	2.45	2.8	2.8
	2.85	2.84	2.45
	2.8	3.13	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.08)	2.93 ↓ (3)	2.52 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
33.5%

Draw
30.8%

Arzachena
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

21.7%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ostia Mare's form might have worsened.

Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arzachena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Ostia Mare - Arzachena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 0.

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arzachena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ostia Mare will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.02.22	Ostia Mare - Cassino	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Ostia Mare	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ostia Mare - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Cynthialbalonga - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
23.01.22	Insieme Formia - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW
- Polisportiva Arzachena
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.02.22	Arzachena - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Cynthialbalonga - Arzachena	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Arzachena - Insieme Formia	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Vis Artena - Arzachena	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Lanusei - Arzachena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
17.10.21	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	0:2
19.01.20	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	2:4
15.09.19	Ostia Mare - Arzachena	0:1
19.02.17	Ostia Mare - Arzachena	1:0
16.10.16	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	0:3
10.01.16	Ostia Mare - Arzachena	2:2

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