Match Info

Date: 21 November 2021, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Carbonia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.78	3.3	3.75
	1.73	3.27	3.71
	1.78	3.62	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)	3.87 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
50.7%

Draw
26.2%

Carbonia
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Carbonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ostia Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carbonia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carbonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ostia Mare - Carbonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Ostia Mare is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carbonia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carbonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ostia Mare is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
14.11.21	Vis Artena - Ostia Mare	0:3 ✺
31.10.21	Muravera - Ostia Mare	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Ostia Mare - Sassari Torres	1:2 ✺
17.10.21	Arzachena - Ostia Mare	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Cassino - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTLWW
- Carbonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
17.11.21	Lanusei - Carbonia	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Carbonia - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cynthialbalonga - Carbonia	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Carbonia - Cassino	0:1 ✺
17.10.21	Carbonia - Giugliano	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL

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