Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Muravera

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	1.94	3	3.29
	2.1	2.9	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)	3 ↓ (3.24)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
44.5%

Draw
29.8%

Muravera
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.3%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

18.9%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Muravera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ostia Mare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muravera than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Muravera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ostia Mare will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ostia Mare won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Sassari Torres - Ostia Mare	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Ostia Mare - Arzachena	3:0 ✺
20.02.22	Ostia Mare - Cassino	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Real Monterotondo - Ostia Mare	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Ostia Mare - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- ASD Muravera 1965 Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
06.03.22	Muravera - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Cynthialbalonga - Muravera	2:5 ✺
20.02.22	Muravera - Insieme Formia	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Vis Artena - Muravera	4:3 ✺
13.02.22	Lanusei - Muravera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
31.10.21	Muravera - Ostia Mare	1:1
12.01.20	Ostia Mare - Muravera	1:0
18.12.16	Muravera - Ostia Mare	1:1
20.12.15	Muravera - Ostia Mare	0:0

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