Match Info

Montenegrin Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Olympic (Velika Plaza) (Ulcinj)


	Otrant		Dečić Tuzi

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.42	3.76	2.42
	2.4	3.6	2.4
	2.41	3.52	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	3.58 ↓ (3.67)	2.42 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otrant
37.5%

Draw
25.2%

Dečić Tuzi
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.9%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24.5%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otrant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otrant than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Otrant - Dečić Tuzi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agovic J. (G) 44. Banovic B. 6. Caique Chagas 98. Decbitric E. 8. Pavicevic F. 30. Rudovic V. (C) 18. Seratlic E. 99. Skrijelj S. 5. Sofranac A. 22. Uskokovic M. 9. Vujacic A.	33. Dragojevic M. (G) 14. Bajovic A. 22. Dresaj J. (C) 27. Golubovic S. 18. Maras L. 74. Pavlicevic P. 32. Radusinovic B. 20. Sekulovic P. 19. Selimi T. 5. Tomasevic Z. 17. Ujkaj L.
Substitutes
87. Hoxhaj A. 7. Karamanaga E. 19. Lambulic L. 10. Muharemovic H. 3. Pelinkovic M. 12. Perej D. (G) 4. Redzovic B. 17. Sefa E. 20. Talovic D.	7. Bozovic D. 29. Braunovic N. 11. Djokaj M. 23. Gjelaj R. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 72. Ndiaye I. 44. Perovic D. 25. Radosevic D. (G) 77. Strikovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otrant won 1.

Otrant is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dečić's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Otrant won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Otrant won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Otrant - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Otrant
Montenegrin Druga Liga
18.04.26	Berane - Otrant	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Otrant - Rudar Pljevlja	4:0 ✺
08.04.26	Internacional - Otrant	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Otrant - Kom Podgorica	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Grbalj Radanovici - Otrant	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWTL
- FK Dečić Tuzi
Montenegrin First League
18.04.26	Mornar Bar - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Dečić Tuzi - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	4:2 ✺
08.04.26	Mladost Donja Gorica - Dečić Tuzi	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dečić Tuzi - Bokelj	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Arsenal Tivat - Dečić Tuzi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
04.05.25	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	2:2
08.03.25	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:0
27.10.24	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	0:0
25.08.24	Otrant - Dečić Tuzi	2:2
Montenegrin Druga Liga
28.06.20	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	4:0
02.12.18	Dečić Tuzi - Otrant	1:0

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