Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Oued Ellil		Mégrine

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.8	2.2
	3.85	3.15	1.92
	4.04	3.14	1.92	Watch
	4.67	3.12	1.87
	3.85	3.15	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (3.49)	3.07 ↑ (2.75)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oued Ellil
23.4%

Draw
29.9%

Mégrine
46.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

33%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

31.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oued Ellil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mégrine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mégrine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oued Ellil than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mégrine than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Oued Ellil - Mégrine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Oued Ellil has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Mégrine is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mégrine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oued Ellil won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Oued Ellil
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.03.25	Menzel Bourguiba - Oued Ellil	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Oued Ellil - Hammam-Sousse	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Moknine - Oued Ellil	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oued Ellil - Jendouba Sport	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marsa - Oued Ellil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLLL
- Association Mégrine Sport
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.03.25	Mégrine - Kalaâ	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Mégrine - Menzel Bourguiba	6:0 ✺
23.02.25	Hammam-Sousse - Mégrine	1:1 ✺
17.02.25	Mégrine - Moknine	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Jendouba Sport - Mégrine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
24.11.24	Mégrine - Oued Ellil	1:0

Oued Ellil - Mégrine