Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 14

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Marsa		Oued Ellil

	1	X	2
	1.18	5.5	14
	1.18	5.4	15
	1.18	5.82	13.37
	1.23	5.38	11.31	Watch
	1.25	5.56	11.6
	1.18	5.4	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	5.51 ↑ (4.25)	13.38 ↑ (9.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
76.5%

Draw
16.7%

Oued Ellil
6.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

21.4%

9.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

20.1%

8.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.

Oued Ellil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oued Ellil than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Marsa - Oued Ellil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Traidi O. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Tritar M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 and 12).

Marsa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oued Ellil has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Marsa have a series of guest games.

In this match Marsa is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Marsa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Cup
02.02.25	Sfax Railways - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
04.01.25	Msaken - Marsa	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Kalaâ - Marsa	0:3 ✺
24.12.24	Marsa - El Makarem de Mahdia	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Radès - Marsa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWW
- AS Oued Ellil
Tunisian Cup
01.02.25	Hammam-Sousse - Oued Ellil	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
28.12.24	El Makarem de Mahdia - Oued Ellil	2:1 ✺
24.12.24	Oued Ellil - Ariana	2:4 ✺
20.12.24	Hammam-Lif - Oued Ellil	3:2 ✺
14.12.24	Oued Ellil - Radès	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
19.10.24	Oued Ellil - Marsa	0:2
21.05.23	Oued Ellil - Marsa	2:1
03.01.23	Marsa - Oued Ellil	2:1
24.11.19	Oued Ellil - Marsa	2:0

Marsa - Oued Ellil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide