Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)


	Oulun Palloseura		JPS

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.4	3.25
	1.82	4.5	3.2
	1.84	4.01	3.26
	1.72	4.7	3.52
	1.82	4.5	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.16)	4.42 ↑ (4.1)	3.29 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulun Palloseura
51.4%

Draw
20.7%

JPS
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

22.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

22.1%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulun Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oulun Palloseura's performance.

JPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and JPS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oulun Palloseura than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oulun Palloseura that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JPS than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that JPS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oulun Palloseura - JPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Obinna A. G. (G) 5. Blomberg R. 10. Chukwu C. 11. Haapala J. 16. Juntunen M. 18. Koskinen E. (C) 15. Mwai D. 25. Nzekwe M. 6. Orishani F. 7. Stapelfeldt J. 9. Vaaraniemi J.	1. Lindfors E. (G) 26. Kopperoinen P. 21. Korolainen J. 8. Naskali T. 17. Niskajarvi J. (C) 4. Peltoniemi J. 18. Penttinen E. 25. Pyyny V. 14. Rasanen S. 3. Salmi E. 7. Vahapesola M.
Substitutes
2. Ashiru I. 17. Banywesize A. 13. Kilpelanaho L. 12. Pekkala V. (G)	27. Luukinen A. 75. Rintatalo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Penttinen E. ⚽,
5', 0 - 2, Rasanen S. ⚽,
32', Niskajarvi J. 🟨,
41', Vahapesola M. ↓, Rintatalo J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
71', Stapelfeldt J. ↓, Kilpelanaho L. ↑,
71', Haapala J. ↓, Banywesize A. ↑,
72', 0 - 3, Rasanen S. ⚽,
84', Blomberg R. 🟨,
90', 0 - 4, Rasanen S. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 4, Vaaraniemi J. ⚽,

Preview

OPS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

JPS is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

OPS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches OPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams OPS won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulun Palloseura
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
23.08.24	OTP - Oulun Palloseura	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	JBK - Oulun Palloseura	0:1 ✺
31.07.24	Oulun Palloseura - JPS	4:3 ✺
21.07.24	Oulun Palloseura - Kuopion Elo	2:2 ✺
17.07.24	JS Hercules - Oulun Palloseura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.4 WWWTL
- JPS Football
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
25.08.24	JS Hercules - JPS	8:0 ✺
10.08.24	JPS - TP-47	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	Oulun Palloseura - JPS	4:3 ✺
27.07.24	JPS - Närpes	2:3 ✺
20.07.24	JBK - JPS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
31.07.24	Oulun Palloseura - JPS	4:3
02.06.24	JPS - Oulun Palloseura	6:2

Oulun Palloseura - JPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide