Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 9

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Pérolas Negras		Americano Rio de Janeiro

	1	X	2
	3.30	2.80	2.15
	3.45	2.88	2.25
	3.64	2.88	2.13
	11.15	4.94	1.26	Watch
	3.4	2.75	2.1
	3.63	2.82	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↑ (3.05)	3.18 ↑ (2.9)	2 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
20.5%

Draw
30.7%

Americano Rio de Janeiro
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

31.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

33%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pérolas Negras's form might have worsened.

Americano Rio de Janeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Americano Rio de Janeiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pérolas Negras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Americano Rio de Janeiro than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Americano Rio de Janeiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Americano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pérolas Negras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Pérolas Negras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Santa Cruz RJ - Pérolas Negras	0:5 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Audax Rio - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pérolas Negras - Serrano FC	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Bonsucesso - Pérolas Negras	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Pérolas Negras - Araruama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLW
- Americano Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Copa Rio
17.06.26	Macaé - Americano Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.06.26	Cabofriense - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
30.05.26	Serrano FC - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Americano Rio de Janeiro - São Gonçalo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
26.05.25	Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:1

Pérolas Negras - Americano Rio de Janeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide