Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 7

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Pérolas Negras		Serrano FC

	1	X	2
	3.40	2.80	2.10
	3.60	2.98	2.15
	3.59	2.97	2.10
	3.55	2.81	2.23	Watch
	3.40	2.70	2.10
	3.57	2.92	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.5)	2.86 ↓ (2.89)	2.13 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pérolas Negras
25.8%

Draw
31.7%

Serrano FC
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.5%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.6%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pérolas Negras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pérolas Negras's form might have worsened.

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serrano FC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pérolas Negras than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pérolas Negras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serrano FC than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serrano FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pérolas Negras - Serrano FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pérolas Negras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pérolas Negras
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
30.05.26	Bonsucesso - Pérolas Negras	4:1 ✺
23.05.26	Pérolas Negras - Araruama	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Olaria - Pérolas Negras	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Pérolas Negras - America RJ	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	São Gonçalo - Pérolas Negras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW
- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
30.05.26	Serrano FC - Americano Rio de Janeiro	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Audax Rio - Serrano FC	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Cabofriense - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Serrano FC - Bonsucesso	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Serrano FC - Olaria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
06.11.24	Serrano FC - Pérolas Negras	2:2

Pérolas Negras - Serrano FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide