The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
P-Iirot Rauma 31%
Draw 23.7%
Espoon Palloseura 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.7%
23.8%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
23.8%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
P-Iirot Rauma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that P-Iirot Rauma's form might have worsened.
Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espoon Palloseura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for P-Iirot Rauma than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for P-Iirot Rauma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espoon Palloseura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
3. Arvela A. 18. Ayannubi T. 4. Elamo P. 22. Hassel K. 31. Honkaniemi M. 5. Huotari S. (C) 20. Ishaq J. 12. Jalava N. 14. Moussa I. 32. Rajamaki N. 16. Sosonovych R.
1. Lehtinen L. (G) 8. Adawi O. 40. Ambasciano M. 24. Asikainen E. (C) 19. Gebala M. 70. Jouhi E. 6. Marshall P. 20. Ojakangas E. 4. Paappanen E. 9. Pinomaa A. 17. Westerlund A.
Substitutes
24. Aalto E. 26. Horkko O. 7. Koivu A. 1. Lainio M. (G) 13. Lehtonen N. 11. Rouna U. 17. Valo V. 6. Vyyrylainen A.
25. Aho N. 15. Laine S. 26. Lindstrom L. 21. Ljunglin M. 11. Mazur A. 98. Rokkonen M. 10. Talvitie E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Rajamaki N. ⚽,
35', Adawi O. 🟨,
44', Ambasciano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marshall P. ↓, Aho N. ↑,
46', Gebala M. ↓, Laine S. ↑,
59', Jouhi E. ↓, Talvitie E. ↑,
62', Rajamaki N. ↓, Rouna U. ↑,
62', Sosonovych R. ↓, Vyyrylainen A. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Ayannubi T. ⚽,
71', Lehtinen L. 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Ayannubi T. ⚽,
74', Pinomaa A. ↓, Ljunglin M. ↑,
74', Paappanen E. ↓, Rokkonen M. ↑,
80', Honkaniemi M. 🟨,
80', Arvela A. 🟨,
82', Ayannubi T. ↓, Lehtonen N. ↑,
82', Ishaq J. ↓, Valo V. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, P-Iirot won 2.
Recent form of P-Iirot has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
EPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, P-Iirot won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, P-Iirot won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).